TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Chidekh vs A. Dougaz (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with C. Chidekh favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Chidekh | A. Dougaz |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.7% | 37.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.9% | 43.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
62.4% | 37.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Chidekh | hard | 1660 | 183–89 | 272 |
| A. Dougaz | hard | 1603 | 196–108 | 304 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
A. Dougaz leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Dougaz | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 27, 2023 | ITF M25 Saint-Augustin Men | hard | A. Dougaz | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | P. Sekulic | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | L. Draxl | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J. K. Trotter | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | D. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bojarski | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Duran | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | N. Robert | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used