TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Burel vs M. A. Teixido Garcia (Valencia on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with C. Burel favoured at 1.06.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Burel | M. A. Teixido Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.4% | 25.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
81.5% | 18.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.4% | 33.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
74.1% | 25.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
88.9% | 11.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Burel | clay | 1658 | 71–53 | 124 |
| M. A. Teixido Garcia | clay | 1463 | 44–27 | 71 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 11, 2026.
| L | G. Maristany | 1 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 0 - 2 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | K. Tsygourova | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | 2 - 0 | Sept. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Cherubini | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 1 - 2 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| L | D. Yesypchuk | 2 - 0 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | P. Lovric | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Mettraux | 0 - 2 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →