TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in C. Brace vs M. Timofeeva (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with M. Timofeeva favoured at 1.08.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | C. Brace | M. Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.5% | 66.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
21.4% | 78.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
27.5% | 72.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
11.9% | 88.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brace | hard | 1542 | 93–73 | 166 |
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1616 | 92–61 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
M. Timofeeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Kessler | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | E. Sema | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used