AI match preview for B. Shelton vs A. Fils (Finals - Turin on 2026-11-15): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. B. Shelton is the market favourite at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Shelton | A. Fils |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.9% | 41.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.9% | 42.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.3% | 42.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.6% | 41.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Shelton | hard | 2016 | 162–73 | 235 |
| A. Fils | hard | 1965 | 109–68 | 177 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.
B. Shelton leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 26, 2024 | ATP Basel | hard | B. Shelton | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 29, 2024 | ATP Tokyo | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 22, 2023 | ATP Laver Cup | hard | B. Shelton | 2 - 0 |
| L | C. Alcaraz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | T. Paul | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | A. Rinderknech | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
All Nov. 15, 2026 results & picks →