TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in B. Palicova vs S. De Stefano (Ljubljana on 2026-09-16) — the market is efficient, with B. Palicova favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | B. Palicova | S. De Stefano |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
92.4% | 7.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
90.8% | 9.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
91.6% | 8.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
61.5% | 38.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Palicova | clay | 1620 | 106–82 | 188 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 14, 2026.
| W | G. Feistel | 2 - 0 | Sept. 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | A. Tubello | 1 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Zoldakova | 2 - 1 | Aug. 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Hodzic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 29, 2026 |
| L | J. Tjen | 0 - 2 | June 8, 2024 |
| W | G. M. Dittmann | 2 - 1 | June 7, 2024 |
| L | L. Michel | 0 - 2 | Sept. 7, 2023 |
All Sept. 16, 2026 results & picks →