B. Andreescu vs L. Stefanini — Prediction & Analysis

Rovereto · Rovereto - Quarter-finals · Oct. 16, 2026 · 17:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. Stefanini +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.74 in B. Andreescu vs L. Stefanini (Rovereto on 2026-10-16). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds B. Andreescu 1.78 · L. Stefanini 2.02

Bot bet

L. Stefanini +3.5 (game handicap) @ 1.74 · 1.25u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: B. Andreescu · L. Stefanini · head-to-head record · Rovereto

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method B. Andreescu L. Stefanini
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
42.0% 58.0%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
32.3% 67.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
85.1% 14.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
53.1% 46.9%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
53.2% 46.8%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
B. Andreescu hard1771 59–3897
L. Stefanini hard1722 135–88223

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 18, 2026.

Head to head

B. Andreescu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 16, 2026RoveretohardB. Andreescu2 - 0

Recent form

B. Andreescu

W M. Bassols 1 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W L. Pigossi 2 - 0 Nov. 11, 2026
W R. Masarova 2 - 1 Nov. 10, 2026
W A. Tubello 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
L L. Romero Gormaz 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026

L. Stefanini

L A. Zakharova 1 - 0 Nov. 6, 2026
W S. Waltert 0 - 2 Nov. 5, 2026
W R. Zolotareva 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Aksu 1 - 2 Oct. 29, 2026
W I. M. Serban 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026

All Oct. 16, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →