A. Zverev vs T. Griekspoor — Prediction & Analysis

Montreal · ATP Montreal - 1/32-finals · Aug. 5, 2026 · 18:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Griekspoor (moneyline) at 5.70 in A. Zverev vs T. Griekspoor (Montreal on 2026-08-05). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds A. Zverev 1.06 · T. Griekspoor 5.70

Bot bet

T. Griekspoor (moneyline) @ 5.70 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Zverev · T. Griekspoor · head-to-head record · Montreal

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Zverev T. Griekspoor
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
78.3% 21.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
58.3% 41.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
71.6% 28.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
73.6% 26.4%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
84.3% 15.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Zverev hard2052 188–68256
T. Griekspoor hard1817 89–78167

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.

Head to head

A. Zverev leads 9–3 over 12 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 5, 2026MontrealhardT. Griekspoor2 - 1
Jan. 4, 2026ATP United CuphardA. Zverev2 - 0
June 2, 2025French OpenclayA. Zverev1 - 0
April 18, 2025MunichclayA. Zverev2 - 1
March 7, 2025ATP Indian WellshardT. Griekspoor2 - 1

Recent form

A. Zverev

W B. Shelton 3 - 1 Sept. 13, 2026
W K. Khachanov 3 - 0 Sept. 11, 2026
W B. Van De Zandschulp 3 - 0 Sept. 10, 2026
W L. Darderi 3 - 0 Sept. 8, 2026
W A. Tabilo 3 - 0 Sept. 6, 2026

T. Griekspoor

L B. Shelton 3 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L D. Merida Aguilar 0 - 2 Aug. 9, 2026
W M. Arnaldi 2 - 1 Aug. 7, 2026
W A. Zverev 1 - 2 Aug. 5, 2026
W L. Sonego 0 - 2 Aug. 4, 2026

All Aug. 5, 2026 results & picks →

32 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →