TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Walton vs A. Davidovich Fokina (Mallorca on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Davidovich Fokina favoured at 1.40.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Walton | A. Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
14.3% | 85.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.3% | 70.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
32.3% | 67.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
31.8% | 68.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Walton | hard | 1748 | 206–117 | 323 |
| A. Davidovich Fokina | hard | 1851 | 107–90 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 0 |
| W | J. Boulais | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | D. Svrcina | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Kokkinakis | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Bicknell | 1 - 1 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | F. Marozsan | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used