TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tubello vs C. Werner (Contrexeville on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with A. Tubello favoured at 1.60.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tubello | C. Werner |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.3% | 42.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tubello | clay | 1578 | 93–43 | 136 |
| C. Werner | clay | 1480 | 53–44 | 97 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 10, 2026.
A. Tubello leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 |
| March 6, 2024 | ITF W15 Monastir 8 Women | hard | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Okutoyi | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Werner | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | Y. Ren | 2 - 1 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Soboleva | 1 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 1 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Paun | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Hodzic | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | I. D. Amariei | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used