TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Tomljanovic vs K. Swan (Birmingham on 2026-06-02) — the market is efficient, with A. Tomljanovic favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Tomljanovic | K. Swan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.6% | 25.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
87.0% | 13.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.8% | 19.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
71.0% | 29.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tomljanovic | hard | 1767 | 73–69 | 142 |
| K. Swan | hard | 1636 | 110–50 | 160 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 20, 2026.
K. Swan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 4, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | K. Swan | 1 - 0 |
| L | M. Bolkvadze | 1 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Cocciaretto | 2 - 1 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Erjavec | 2 - 0 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | C. Osorio | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Keys | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | I. Begu | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | V. Golubic | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Krueger | 0 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | T. Martincova | 0 - 2 | June 10, 2026 |
All June 2, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used