TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Maria vs L. Fruhvirtova (Birmingham on 2026-06-02) — the market is efficient, with T. Maria favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Maria | L. Fruhvirtova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
84.3% | 15.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
73.1% | 26.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.9% | 41.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Maria | hard | 1566 | 112–109 | 221 |
| L. Fruhvirtova | hard | 1624 | 94–82 | 176 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
T. Maria leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 3, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | T. Maria | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 25, 2025 | W100 Bengaluru | hard | T. Maria | 2 - 1 |
| May 8, 2024 | WTA Rome | clay | T. Maria | 2 - 1 |
| L | C. McNally | 1 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | I. Marton | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | R. Zarazua | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Gibson | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | K. Volynets | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | K. Kawa | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | B. Krejcikova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 2 - 1 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 2, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used