TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Shelbayh vs G. Dimitrov (Mallorca on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with G. Dimitrov favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Shelbayh | G. Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
15.9% | 84.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.6% | 83.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
17.7% | 82.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
20.8% | 79.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Shelbayh | hard | 1619 | 118–75 | 193 |
| G. Dimitrov | hard | 1828 | 105–74 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
G. Dimitrov leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 0 |
| W | M. Rottgering | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | J. Sheehy | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | M. Damm | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | B. Harris | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | D. Svrcina | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Fery | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 3 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | J. Mensik | 1 - 3 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used