TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Sasnovich vs K. Dunne (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with A. Sasnovich favoured at 1.03.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Sasnovich | K. Dunne |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.7% | 22.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
72.8% | 27.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
78.8% | 21.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
87.6% | 12.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sasnovich | hard | 1737 | 89–80 | 169 |
| K. Dunne | hard | 1446 | 77–50 | 127 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
A. Sasnovich leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | S. Hunter | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Kobori | 0 - 2 | June 7, 2026 |
| L | R. Serban | 0 - 2 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | L. Cabrera | 1 - 2 | May 12, 2026 |
| L | A. Dudeney | 2 - 0 | May 7, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used