TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ruzic vs P. Marcinko (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with A. Ruzic favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ruzic | P. Marcinko |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
77.2% | 22.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
62.0% | 38.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
55.4% | 44.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ruzic | hard | 1784 | 114–50 | 164 |
| P. Marcinko | clay | 1727 | 89–46 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
P. Marcinko leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | P. Marcinko | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | P. Marcinko | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. Kenin | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
The model consensus projects a 66.4% win probability for Ruzic, yielding a 6.2% edge over the market's devigged odds of 60.2%. Qualitative factors strongly support this mathematical edge, as Ruzic has won four of her last six on grass, while Marcinko enters as a lucky loser who recently lost in qualifying and is fatigued from four matches in the past week. With no injuries reported for Ruzic and Marcinko's recent WTA title coming on clay rather than grass, the structural advantage for Ruzic on this surface is validated.