TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ruzic vs E. Raducanu (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with E. Raducanu favoured at 1.28.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ruzic | E. Raducanu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
24.8% | 75.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
51.4% | 48.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.2% | 52.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.1% | 58.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
25.4% | 74.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ruzic | hard | 1784 | 114–50 | 164 |
| E. Raducanu | hard | 1737 | 66–51 | 117 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Ruzic leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb. 16, 2026 | WTA Dubai | hard | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 |
| W | L. Boisson | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | J. Ostapenko | 2 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | P. Marcinko | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | D. Vekic | 2 - 0 | June 14, 2026 |
| W | I. Jovic | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 2 - 0 | June 13, 2026 |
| W | S. Cirstea | 0 - 2 | June 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | June 9, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
The mathematical model suggests a 13.9% edge on A. Ruzic, driven almost entirely by an ML model outlier (51.4%) that conflicts with the ELO model (24.8%) and market pricing. Qualitative analysis invalidates this edge: the ML model's top driver is 'hard_elo_diff', which is surface-irrelevant for this grass match. Furthermore, Ruzic is coming off a demoralizing loss to a weak opponent (ELO 1458) just 6 days ago, while Raducanu recently beat an Elite opponent (Jovic) and reached a final. The market trend signal explicitly warns that Ruzic is 'possibly over-priced', confirming that the 3.75 odds do not offer value.