A. Rus vs S. Lamens — Prediction & Analysis

US Open · WTA US Open - Semi-finals · Aug. 26, 2026 · 18:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Rus (moneyline) at 2.96 in A. Rus vs S. Lamens (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds A. Rus 2.25 · S. Lamens 1.57

Bot bet

A. Rus (moneyline) @ 2.96 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Rus · S. Lamens · head-to-head record · US Open

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Rus S. Lamens
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
37.2% 62.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
43.4% 56.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
51.0% 49.0%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
37.2% 62.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
41.1% 58.9%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Rus hard1556 69–68137
S. Lamens hard1574 82–76158

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 1, 2026.

Head to head

A. Rus leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 26, 2026US OpenhardA. Rus2 - 0
Aug. 4, 2024HamburgclayA. Rus2 - 0

Recent form

A. Rus

L S. De Stefano 1 - 2 Sept. 14, 2026
L L. Jeanjean 0 - 2 Sept. 1, 2026
W S. Bandecchi 1 - 2 Aug. 28, 2026
W S. Lamens 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W T. Kostovic 2 - 1 Aug. 25, 2026

S. Lamens

L K. Day 2 - 0 Sept. 7, 2026
L A. Rus 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026
W E. Jones 2 - 1 Aug. 25, 2026
L E. Pridankina 2 - 1 June 24, 2026
W A. Rajecki 0 - 2 June 23, 2026

All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →

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