TennisEdge's AI bot is backing L. van Assche +4.5 (game handicap) at 2.16 in A. Rublev vs L. van Assche (Estoril on 2026-07-24). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rublev | L. van Assche |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
79.2% | 20.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.8% | 32.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
66.9% | 33.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
79.2% | 20.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.6% | 21.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rublev | clay | 1926 | 75–30 | 105 |
| L. van Assche | clay | 1785 | 110–71 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2026 | Estoril | clay | L. van Assche | 2 - 1 |
| July 31, 2024 | ATP Washington | hard | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | T. Paul | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 1 | Oct. 21, 2026 |
| L | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. De Minaur | 2 - 1 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| W | R. Hijikata | 2 - 1 | Nov. 6, 2026 |
| W | L. Musetti | 1 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | L. Tien | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
All July 24, 2026 results & picks →