TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Rajecki vs S. Lamens (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with S. Lamens favoured at 1.10.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rajecki | S. Lamens |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
28.1% | 71.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.8% | 76.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
14.9% | 85.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rajecki | hard | 1456 | 56–49 | 105 |
| S. Lamens | hard | 1585 | 81–74 | 155 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
S. Lamens leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Lamens | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Valdmannova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | B. Du Pree | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Dudeney | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Maloney | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Rajecki | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | P. Badosa | 0 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| W | D. Galfi | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| W | T. J. Brockmann | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used