TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Rai (moneyline) at 3.54 in A. Rai vs Q. Vandecasteele (Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification on 2026-08-10). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Rai | Q. Vandecasteele |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.1% | 63.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.3% | 59.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.0% | 60.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.3% | 63.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.1% | 69.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Rai | hard | 1333 | 132–114 | 246 |
| Q. Vandecasteele | hard | 1445 | 90–83 | 173 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 11, 2026.
Q. Vandecasteele leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 10, 2026 | Brownsburg (Usa) - Qualification | hard | Q. Vandecasteele | 2 - 0 |
| L | Ja. Delaney | 0 - 0 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| L | G. Lomakin | 0 - 2 | Oct. 4, 2026 |
| L | Q. Vandecasteele | 0 - 2 | Aug. 10, 2026 |
| W | P. Jubb | 1 - 2 | Aug. 9, 2026 |
| L | E. Zhu | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | O. Baris | 2 - 0 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| L | B. N. Nakashima | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Ostapenkov | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Antonius | 1 - 2 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| L | S. Gorzny | 0 - 2 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
All Aug. 10, 2026 results & picks →