TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Droguet (moneyline) at 2.04 in A. Popyrin vs T. Droguet (Cincinnati on 2026-08-11). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Popyrin | T. Droguet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
41.0% | 59.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
40.1% | 59.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
19.1% | 80.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
38.6% | 61.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.7% | 48.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Popyrin | hard | 1681 | 88–100 | 188 |
| T. Droguet | hard | 1785 | 95–63 | 158 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.
T. Droguet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 12, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | T. Droguet | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tabilo | 1 - 3 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 1 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | H. Gaston | 0 - 0 | Aug. 20, 2026 |
| W | F. Maestrelli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 0 - 2 | Aug. 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Lajal | 2 - 0 | Sept. 13, 2026 |
| W | N. Budkov Kjaer | 2 - 1 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Glinka | 2 - 1 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | G. Brouwer | 2 - 0 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| W | M. Chazal | 2 - 0 | Sept. 7, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →