TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Moro Canas vs S. Kwon (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with S. Kwon favoured at 1.43.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Moro Canas | S. Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.0% | 36.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.2% | 65.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Moro Canas | clay | 1578 | 92–83 | 175 |
| S. Kwon | hard | 1782 | 135–62 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 15, 2026.
S. Kwon leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Kwon | 3 - 0 |
| W | R. Bertrand | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | O. Crawford | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | I. Marrero Curbelo | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Giunta | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Kwon | 0 - 3 | June 25, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used