TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Monnot vs L. Jeanjean (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with L. Jeanjean favoured at 1.21.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Monnot | L. Jeanjean |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.8% | 79.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
29.4% | 70.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.5% | 50.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
20.8% | 79.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
24.6% | 75.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Monnot | hard | 1525 | 52–50 | 102 |
| L. Jeanjean | clay | 1691 | 111–70 | 181 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated April 23, 2026.
L. Jeanjean leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 30, 2024 | ITF W50 Nantes Women | hard | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 |
| April 12, 2022 | W25+H Calvi | hard | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Ciric Bagaric | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | C. Martinez Cirez | 2 - 1 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Kokkinis | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 0 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| W | M. S. Popa | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | M. Frech | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Zhu | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Tubello | 2 - 1 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Jones | 1 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used