TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Molcan (moneyline) at 2.37 in A. Molcan vs A. Davidovich Fokina (Umag on 2026-07-16). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Molcan | A. Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.2% | 52.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.5% | 47.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.8% | 60.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Molcan | clay | 1780 | 137–71 | 208 |
| A. Davidovich Fokina | clay | 1773 | 43–36 | 79 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 8, 2026.
A. Molcan leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 16, 2026 | Umag | clay | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 | Oct. 25, 2026 |
| W | R. Jodar | 2 - 1 | Oct. 18, 2026 |
| W | A. Zverev | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Gea | 0 - 0 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | H. Hurkacz | 1 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
All July 16, 2026 results & picks →