TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Matusevich vs R. Sakamoto (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with R. Sakamoto favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Matusevich | R. Sakamoto |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
37.7% | 62.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.2% | 53.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Matusevich | hard | 1613 | 121–56 | 177 |
| R. Sakamoto | hard | 1676 | 79–55 | 134 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 10, 2026.
R. Sakamoto leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Guillen Meza | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | C. Cretu | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | L. Staeheli | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | N. Djosic | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| L | T. Legout | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | J. Leroux | 2 - 1 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 3 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Dougaz | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Matusevich | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used