TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Mannarino (moneyline) at 2.02 in A. Mannarino vs T. Samuel (Stockholm on 2026-11-08). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Mannarino | T. Samuel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
65.2% | 34.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
78.6% | 21.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.1% | 45.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mannarino | hard | 1739 | 119–124 | 243 |
| T. Samuel | hard | 1796 | 111–38 | 149 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.
T. Samuel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 8, 2026 | Stockholm | hard | T. Samuel | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Shevchenko | 0 - 2 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 1 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Simonsson | 2 - 0 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | N. Borges | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| W | L. Borg | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Mannarino | 1 - 2 | Nov. 8, 2026 |
| W | K. Friberg | 0 - 2 | Nov. 7, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
All Nov. 8, 2026 results & picks →