TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A-L. Friedsam vs C. Ngounoue (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with C. Ngounoue favoured at 1.63.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A-L. Friedsam | C. Ngounoue |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
11.9% | 88.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.8% | 38.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
11.9% | 88.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
43.8% | 56.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-L. Friedsam | hard | 1564 | 84–70 | 154 |
| C. Ngounoue | hard | 1528 | 87–55 | 142 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 26, 2026.
C. Ngounoue leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. Ngounoue | 2 - 0 |
| L | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Zaar | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | J. Pastikova | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | M. Bassols | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | D. Cherubini | 1 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Ma | 1 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | L. Ma | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used