TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Krueger vs G. Knutson (Wimbledon on 2026-06-23) — the market is efficient, with A. Krueger favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Krueger | G. Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
67.2% | 32.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.5% | 31.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.7% | 43.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
80.9% | 19.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Krueger | hard | 1720 | 94–83 | 177 |
| G. Knutson | hard | 1531 | 131–86 | 217 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
A. Krueger leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Krueger | 2 - 0 |
| May 31, 2026 | Birmingham | grass | A. Krueger | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 2, 2023 | W60 Rome, GA | hard | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | M. Kostyuk | 0 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | D. Snigur | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. Bolkvadze | 0 - 2 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Zhang | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Salkova | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | A. Ito | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
All June 23, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used