TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Kovacevic vs B. Van De Zandschulp (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with B. Van De Zandschulp favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Kovacevic | B. Van De Zandschulp |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
27.7% | 72.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.4% | 52.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
19.0% | 81.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
31.3% | 68.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
39.8% | 60.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kovacevic | hard | 1669 | 153–121 | 274 |
| B. Van De Zandschulp | hard | 1749 | 108–84 | 192 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
B. Van De Zandschulp leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Van De Zandschulp | 3 - 1 |
| May 8, 2026 | Rome | clay | B. Van De Zandschulp | 2 - 1 |
| L | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Norrie | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | B. Van De Zandschulp | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | D. Altmaier | 2 - 0 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | June 16, 2026 |
| L | J. Faria | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | R. Safiullin | 3 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | A. Kovacevic | 1 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
The consensus model gives B. Van De Zandschulp a 61.2% win probability, creating a slim 1.1% edge over the market's 60.2%. While ELO strongly favors BVDZ (72.3%), the ML model is skeptical (52.6%), likely weighing Kovacevic's serve metrics or recent erratic form. With the Kelly criterion suggesting 0 units and the risk of a low-odds favorite (1.57) outweighing the tiny edge, this is a clear pass. BVDZ is the likely winner, but not at these odds.