TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Korneeva vs A. Lazaro Garcia (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Korneeva favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Korneeva | A. Lazaro Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.9% | 30.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
77.5% | 22.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
72.0% | 28.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
67.4% | 32.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Korneeva | hard | 1826 | 106–32 | 138 |
| A. Lazaro Garcia | clay | 1688 | 116–82 | 198 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Korneeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 |
| W | P. Kudermetova | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | M. Stoiana | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sakkari | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Li | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | C. Paquet | 1 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Pigossi | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kulambayeva | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 2 - 1 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used