A. Ito vs T. C. Grant — Prediction & Analysis

Osaka · · Oct. 17, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Ito (moneyline) at 2.10 in A. Ito vs T. C. Grant (Osaka on 2026-10-17). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds A. Ito 2.14 · T. C. Grant 1.80

Bot bet

A. Ito (moneyline) @ 2.10 · 1.75u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Ito · T. C. Grant · head-to-head record · Osaka

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Ito T. C. Grant
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
47.7% 52.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
59.2% 40.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
80.3% 19.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
62.4% 37.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
45.7% 54.3%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Ito hard1603 148–89237
T. C. Grant hard1474 30–2454

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 10, 2026.

Head to head

A. Ito leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 17, 2026OsakahardA. Ito2 - 0

Recent form

A. Ito

L C. Y. Lee 2 - 0 Nov. 10, 2026
L K. Swan 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
L K. Birrell 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
L H. Dart 2 - 1 Oct. 18, 2026
W T. C. Grant 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026

T. C. Grant

L E. Pridankina 2 - 0 Oct. 24, 2026
L A. Ito 2 - 0 Oct. 17, 2026
L C. Osorio 2 - 1 Oct. 10, 2026
L D. Khomutsianskaya 2 - 1 Oct. 6, 2026
L A. Falei 0 - 2 Sept. 29, 2026

All Oct. 17, 2026 results & picks →

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