TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ito vs G. Knutson (Caldas da Rainha on 2026-09-15) — the market is efficient, with A. Ito favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ito | G. Knutson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.6% | 50.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.5% | 35.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.2% | 45.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ito | hard | 1637 | 144–81 | 225 |
| G. Knutson | hard | 1614 | 137–88 | 225 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 12, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 18, 2026 | Livesport Prague Open | clay | G. Knutson | 2 - 0 |
| Jan. 31, 2024 | W75 Burnie | hard | A. Ito | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | Sept. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Voloshchuk | 0 - 2 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | R. Brantmeier | 1 - 2 | Sept. 10, 2026 |
| W | L. Fruhvirtova | 2 - 1 | Sept. 9, 2026 |
| L | O. Selekhmeteva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | E. Lys | 0 - 2 | Sept. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Gorgodze | 2 - 0 | Aug. 27, 2026 |
| W | D. Salkova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 0 | Aug. 8, 2026 |
All Sept. 15, 2026 results & picks →