TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Ibragimova vs L. Bronzetti (Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualification on 2026-07-30) — the market is efficient, with L. Bronzetti favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Ibragimova | L. Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.9% | 63.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.2% | 61.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
51.7% | 48.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.5% | 57.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.3% | 57.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ibragimova | clay | 1602 | 62–45 | 107 |
| L. Bronzetti | clay | 1714 | 103–71 | 174 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
L. Bronzetti leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 30, 2026 | Targu Mures (Romania) - Qualification | clay | L. Bronzetti | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. I. Burcescu | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Jones | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Burel | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | A. Rame | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | L. Samson | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Ibragimova | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
All July 30, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used