TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Hesse vs M. Sherif (Contrexeville on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.11.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Hesse | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
13.0% | 87.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.5% | 69.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.3% | 50.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
13.0% | 87.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
15.6% | 84.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 27, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| L | Y. Kotliar | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | E. Vedder | 2 - 0 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | F. Tian | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used