TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Hesse vs B. Palicova (Contrexeville on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with B. Palicova favoured at 1.34.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Hesse | B. Palicova |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
36.7% | 63.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
42.2% | 57.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
41.0% | 59.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.9% | 69.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hesse | hard | 1519 | 85–88 | 173 |
| B. Palicova | clay | 1518 | 95–80 | 175 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 27, 2026.
A. Hesse leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | A. Hesse | 2 - 0 |
| L | Y. Kotliar | 1 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | B. Palicova | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | E. Vedder | 2 - 0 | June 27, 2026 |
| W | F. Tian | 1 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | N. Brancaccio | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | K. Tsygourova | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Parcelli | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used