TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Herrero Linana vs M. Sherif (Contrexeville on 2026-07-10) — the market is efficient, with M. Sherif favoured at 1.12.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Herrero Linana | M. Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
23.1% | 76.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
16.9% | 83.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.1% | 41.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
23.1% | 76.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
16.9% | 83.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrero Linana | clay | 1519 | 51–42 | 93 |
| M. Sherif | clay | 1837 | 179–72 | 251 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 10, 2026.
M. Sherif leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 10, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | M. Sherif | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Wolff | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Mikulskyte | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | T. Lukas | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | T. Korpatsch | 0 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | S. Waltert | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | P. Badosa | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
All July 10, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used