TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Herrero Linana vs L. Nguyen Tan (Contrexeville on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with L. Nguyen Tan favoured at 1.72.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Herrero Linana | L. Nguyen Tan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
49.9% | 50.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.0% | 48.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.4% | 55.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.5% | 53.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Herrero Linana | clay | 1519 | 51–42 | 93 |
| L. Nguyen Tan | clay | 1468 | 79–74 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 10, 2026.
A. Herrero Linana leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 6, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | A. Herrero Linana | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Wolff | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Mikulskyte | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | T. Lukas | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | I. Burillo Escorihuela | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | K. L. Ebeling | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | K. L. Ebeling | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Y. Morderger | 0 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | Y. Kabbaj | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used