TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Guerrieri vs K. Jacquet (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with K. Jacquet favoured at 1.46.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Guerrieri | K. Jacquet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.4% | 45.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.0% | 59.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
43.4% | 56.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.6% | 65.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guerrieri | clay | 1677 | 98–70 | 168 |
| K. Jacquet | clay | 1612 | 85–61 | 146 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.
K. Jacquet leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | K. Jacquet | 2 - 0 |
| W | O. Wallin | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | F. A. Gomez | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | L. Nardi | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | H. Dellien | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | O. Roca Batalla | 2 - 0 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | G. Diallo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Shevchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Blockx | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Merida Aguilar | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | T. Daniel | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used