TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Gasanova vs E. Jones (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with E. Jones favoured at 1.41.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Gasanova | E. Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.4% | 65.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
33.5% | 66.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gasanova | hard | 1654 | 123–68 | 191 |
| E. Jones | hard | 1735 | 90–45 | 135 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 15, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Gasanova | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 17, 2025 | W100 Macon, GA | hard | E. Jones | 2 - 1 |
| L | H. Tan | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | S. Bandecchi | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | N. Osaka | 0 - 2 | July 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Arango | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| W | D. Semenistaja | 0 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | L. Tararudee | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Brengle | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. Zhao | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used