TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Galarneau vs O. Tarvet (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with O. Tarvet favoured at 1.46.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Galarneau | O. Tarvet |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
42.6% | 57.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.0% | 44.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
39.4% | 60.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.7% | 57.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
34.6% | 65.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Galarneau | hard | 1616 | 151–116 | 267 |
| O. Tarvet | hard | 1642 | 52–17 | 69 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
O. Tarvet leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 |
| June 25, 2025 | Wimbledon | grass | O. Tarvet | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Kopriva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | T. Zink | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Uchida | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 1 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | E. Hudd | 0 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | R. Hohmann | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | R. Dhokia | 0 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | S. Dominko | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | B. Gusic Wan | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used