TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Fita Boluda vs L. Pigato (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with L. Pigato favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fita Boluda | L. Pigato |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.6% | 80.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.4% | 41.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
40.2% | 59.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
30.4% | 69.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fita Boluda | clay | 1558 | 169–111 | 280 |
| L. Pigato | clay | 1636 | 108–87 | 195 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
L. Pigato leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | L. Pigato | 2 - 1 |
| March 26, 2025 | W35 Terrassa | clay | L. Pigato | 1 - 0 |
| L | K. Tsygourova | Walk Over | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Zantedeschi | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | A. Herrero Linana | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | J. Otzipka | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | I. Balus | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 1 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | A. Fita Boluda | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | M. L. Carle | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | L. Vladson | 2 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used