TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 23.5 games at 1.94 in A. Fils vs F. Tiafoe (Cincinnati on 2026-08-23). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fils | F. Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.5% | 36.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.8% | 40.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.9% | 40.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
A. Fils leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 2, 2026 | Tokyo | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 0 |
| Aug. 23, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| March 24, 2025 | Miami | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Fritz | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | T. Machac | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 1 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 1 - 2 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Mpetshi Perricard | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 2 - 1 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Musetti | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Davidovich Fokina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 11, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Fils | 2 - 0 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 23, 2026 results & picks →