TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 23.5 games at 1.94 in A. Fils vs F. Tiafoe (Cincinnati on 2026-08-23). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Fils | F. Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.5% | 36.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.8% | 40.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
59.9% | 40.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 31, 2026.
A. Fils leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 23, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| March 24, 2025 | Miami | hard | A. Fils | 2 - 1 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | F. Tiafoe | 2 - 1 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 2 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| W | T. A. Tirante | 0 - 2 | Aug. 21, 2026 |
| W | A. De Minaur | 2 - 0 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 3 | Sept. 11, 2026 |
| W | A. Michelsen | 3 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| W | D. Medvedev | 0 - 3 | Sept. 6, 2026 |
| W | V. Vacherot | 0 - 3 | Sept. 4, 2026 |
| W | R. Sakamoto | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 23, 2026 results & picks →