A. Falei vs S. Sorribes Tormo — Prediction & Analysis

Jingshan · Jingshan - Quarter-finals · Oct. 2, 2026 · 03:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Falei +3.5 (game handicap) at 1.74 in A. Falei vs S. Sorribes Tormo (Jingshan on 2026-10-02). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds A. Falei 2.27 · S. Sorribes Tormo 1.60

Bot bet

A. Falei +3.5 (game handicap) @ 1.74 · 1.25u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Falei · S. Sorribes Tormo · head-to-head record · Jingshan

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Falei S. Sorribes Tormo
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
46.7% 53.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
38.7% 61.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
25.6% 74.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
37.0% 63.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
41.3% 58.7%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Falei hard1650 151–81232
S. Sorribes Tormo hard1543 69–66135

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

A. Falei leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 2, 2026JingshanhardA. Falei2 - 0

Recent form

A. Falei

L M. Linette 1 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
W R. Zolotareva 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026
W E. Yashina 2 - 0 Oct. 31, 2026
L R. Sramkova 1 - 2 Oct. 9, 2026
W O. Oliynykova 0 - 1 Oct. 8, 2026

S. Sorribes Tormo

L Z. Sonmez 1 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L M. Inglis 0 - 2 Oct. 17, 2026
L D. Kasatkina 1 - 2 Oct. 11, 2026
W T. Gibson 0 - 2 Oct. 10, 2026
L A. Falei 2 - 0 Oct. 2, 2026

All Oct. 2, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →