TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Dougaz vs F. Gill (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with F. Gill favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Dougaz | F. Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
31.4% | 68.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.3% | 80.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.3% | 74.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
F. Gill leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | F. Gill | 2 - 1 |
| W | M. Basic | 2 - 0 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Sakellaridis | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Bojarski | 1 - 2 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Duran | 0 - 2 | July 12, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used