TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Davidovich Fokina vs J. M. Cerundolo (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with A. Davidovich Fokina favoured at 1.30.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Davidovich Fokina | J. M. Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
84.8% | 15.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
83.6% | 16.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.8% | 19.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
72.9% | 27.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Davidovich Fokina | hard | 1851 | 107–90 | 197 |
| J. M. Cerundolo | clay | 1838 | 205–111 | 316 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 21, 2026.
A. Davidovich Fokina leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 |
| Aug. 31, 2023 | ATP US Open | hard | A. Davidovich Fokina | 3 - 0 |
| L | A. Molcan | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | F. Auger-Aliassime | 3 - 2 | July 5, 2026 |
| W | M. Fucsovics | 3 - 0 | July 3, 2026 |
| W | F. Marozsan | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
| L | M. Trungelliti | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | C. Ruud | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Kecmanovic | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | Z. Kolar | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used