A. Bondar vs E. S. Liang — Prediction & Analysis

Monterrey · WTA Monterrey - Final · Aug. 23, 2026 · 22:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing E. S. Liang (moneyline) at 3.15 in A. Bondar vs E. S. Liang (Monterrey on 2026-08-23). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Bondar 1.21 · E. S. Liang 3.25

Bot bet

E. S. Liang (moneyline) @ 3.15 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Bondar · E. S. Liang · head-to-head record · Monterrey

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Bondar E. S. Liang
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
66.2% 33.8%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
58.6% 41.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
33.7% 66.3%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
58.4% 41.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
72.9% 27.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Bondar hard1671 77–80157
E. S. Liang hard1614 124–104228

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 3, 2026.

Head to head

A. Bondar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 23, 2026MonterreyhardA. Bondar2 - 1

Recent form

A. Bondar

L M. Keys 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W L. Havlickova 0 - 2 Sept. 1, 2026
L C. Bucsa 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
W E. Jacquemot 2 - 0 Aug. 23, 2026
W E. S. Liang 2 - 1 Aug. 23, 2026

E. S. Liang

L N. Bartunkova 2 - 1 Aug. 26, 2026
L A. Bondar 2 - 1 Aug. 23, 2026
W S. Kraus 2 - 1 Aug. 22, 2026
L M. Sawangkaew 0 - 2 July 28, 2026
W X. You 1 - 2 May 10, 2026

All Aug. 23, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →