TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Blockx vs A. Zverev (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with A. Zverev favoured at 1.08.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Blockx | A. Zverev |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
17.4% | 82.5% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
17.3% | 82.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
15.7% | 84.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
11.9% | 88.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2026.
A. Zverev leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | A. Zverev | 3 - 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Rome | clay | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| May 1, 2026 | Madrid | clay | A. Zverev | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. van Assche | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Darderi | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | R. A. Burruchaga | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
A. Blockx vs A. Zverev — Wimbledon 1/64 (grass) MODELS: ELO A 17.5% | ML A 17.3% | Model A 15.7% | Market A 11.9% (devig). Edge +3.8% on Blockx (longshot @8.0); Zverev @1.08. H2H: Zverev 2-0, both decisive — Rome 1/16 (6-1 6-4, DOM) and Madrid SF (6-2 7-5). Blockx has not taken a set off Zverev. FORM: - Blockx: strong CLAY swing (Madrid SF beating Ruud 6-4 6-4, FAA 7-6 6-3, Cerundolo 7-6 6-2). Last match French Open 1/64 May 24 (DOM vs Wong). ZERO grass matches this season — entire record is clay. ~37 days idle / rusty. - Zverev: French Open FINAL (lost Cobolli 5 sets, Jun 7), then Halle SF on grass (beat Collignon, Hanfmann, Kopriva; lost Fritz 7-6 in 3). In rhythm on grass. FATIGUE: Blockx 0 matches/14d — rested but rusty (no grass reps). Zverev last played Jun 20 = 10d rest, well recovered after Halle load; carries grass match sharpness. Edge to Zverev on readiness. NARRATIVE: No active let-down (Zverev's FO final was 23d ago). No recent title for either. Venue n/a. VERDICT: Model's +3.8% on the 8.0 longshot is a surface-blind artifact. Reality: Zverev 2-0 H2H both decisive, match on grass where Blockx is untested and Zverev is in form, plus 37-day rust for Blockx. Edge not validated. Zverev @1.08 offers no value either. PASS.