TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Blinkova vs M. L. Carle (Contrexeville on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with A. Blinkova favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Blinkova | M. L. Carle |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.6% | 36.4% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
59.3% | 40.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
58.4% | 41.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Blinkova | hard | 1646 | 101–95 | 196 |
| M. L. Carle | clay | 1548 | 166–111 | 277 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
A. Blinkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Sramkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | H. Watson | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Sasnovich | 1 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | A. Zantedeschi | 0 - 2 | July 10, 2026 |
| L | E. Lene | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. Niemeier | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Pieri | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | E. V. Eigelsbach | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used