A. Blinkova vs E. Alexandrova — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Blinkova (moneyline) at 3.55 in A. Blinkova vs E. Alexandrova (Cincinnati on 2026-08-15). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Blinkova 4.00 · E. Alexandrova 1.25

Bot bet

A. Blinkova (moneyline) @ 3.55 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Blinkova · E. Alexandrova · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Blinkova E. Alexandrova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
33.3% 66.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
45.2% 54.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
41.4% 58.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
35.3% 64.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
23.8% 76.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Blinkova hard1695 108–99207
E. Alexandrova hard1809 110–82192

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 12, 2026.

Head to head

E. Alexandrova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 16, 2026CincinnatihardE. Alexandrova2 - 1
June 11, 2025HertogenboschgrassE. Alexandrova2 - 0

Recent form

A. Blinkova

L C. Liu 2 - 1 Sept. 12, 2026
W J. Riera 0 - 2 Sept. 11, 2026
W E. Jacquemot 0 - 2 Sept. 11, 2026
W N. Podoroska 0 - 2 Sept. 10, 2026
W A. V. Mediorreal 0 - 2 Sept. 8, 2026

E. Alexandrova

L M. Kostyuk 2 - 0 Sept. 4, 2026
W K. Birrell 1 - 2 Sept. 2, 2026
W M. Kessler 0 - 2 Aug. 30, 2026
L C. Tauson 1 - 2 Aug. 27, 2026
L S. Bejlek 2 - 1 Aug. 18, 2026

All Aug. 15, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →