A. Blinkova vs E. Alexandrova — Prediction & Analysis

Cincinnati · · Aug. 15, 2026 · 14:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Blinkova (moneyline) at 3.55 in A. Blinkova vs E. Alexandrova (Cincinnati on 2026-08-15). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds A. Blinkova 4.00 · E. Alexandrova 1.25

Bot bet

A. Blinkova (moneyline) @ 3.55 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: A. Blinkova · E. Alexandrova · head-to-head record · Cincinnati

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method A. Blinkova E. Alexandrova
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
33.3% 66.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
45.2% 54.8%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
41.4% 58.6%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
35.3% 64.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
23.8% 76.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
A. Blinkova hard1722 122–104226
E. Alexandrova hard1841 116–86202

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.

Head to head

E. Alexandrova leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 16, 2026CincinnatihardE. Alexandrova2 - 1
June 11, 2025HertogenboschgrassE. Alexandrova2 - 0

Recent form

A. Blinkova

L S. Lansere 1 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
W G. Feistel 2 - 1 Nov. 7, 2026
W Y. Kabbaj 2 - 1 Nov. 7, 2026
W Z. Li 2 - 1 Nov. 5, 2026
W F. Heddar 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026

E. Alexandrova

L K. Rakhimova 2 - 1 Oct. 28, 2026
W A. Li 0 - 2 Oct. 27, 2026
L L. Fernandez 2 - 1 Oct. 23, 2026
W M. Kostyuk 1 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W H. Guo 0 - 2 Oct. 20, 2026

All Aug. 15, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →