TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Arseneault vs V. Osuigwe (Newport on 2026-07-05) — the market is efficient, with A. Arseneault favoured at 1.42.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Arseneault | V. Osuigwe |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
66.2% | 33.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.2% | 34.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Arseneault | hard | 1450 | 51–48 | 99 |
| V. Osuigwe | hard | 1228 | 11–23 | 34 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 2, 2026.
A. Arseneault leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 5, 2026 | Newport | grass | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Bouzas Maneiro | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Xu | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Chavez | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Cabrera | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Arseneault | 2 - 0 | July 5, 2026 |
| L | M. Kobori | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Yamalapalli | 2 - 0 | May 27, 2026 |
| L | E. Cabezas Dominguez | 0 - 2 | Nov. 12, 2025 |
| L | E. Khayrutdinova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 24, 2025 |
All July 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used