TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in A. Andrade vs C. Smith (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with C. Smith favoured at 1.16.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | A. Andrade | C. Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
26.9% | 73.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
31.7% | 68.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
26.3% | 73.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
18.8% | 81.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Andrade | clay | 1584 | 82–53 | 135 |
| C. Smith | hard | 1644 | 63–38 | 101 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 29, 2026.
C. Smith leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | C. Smith | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Ilagan | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | B. Shick | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Popyrin | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Kasnikowski | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | C. Smith | 1 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | . R. Pascual F. | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Wolf | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Bu | 1 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| W | H. Matsuoka | 2 - 0 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | A. Ilagan | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used